Performify's Pigskin Picks: Week 17
Last week was another third consecutive dismal one, resulting in three consecutive significantly losing weeks in 14 and 15 and 16, erasing a +13.45 unit profit that I'd shown through week 13.
Due to the unique scenarios in the NFL this week, I'm not picking a lot of straight games this week. However I believe there is a lot of value in a few games and in a few teased scenarios.
Results from the week and season:
For the Week: 0-3-1, loss on Game of the Week. -10.7 units on recommended plays.
Season: 9-7 (56.25%) on Game of the Week. 32-35 (47.76%) on overall picks. -15.05 units on recommended plays for the season.
Game of the week remains a winner (+6.5 units for the season on recommended Game of the Week plays) despite the downturn in the past three weeks for the rest.
Kansas City -7 (-108) over Bengals
I sent this pick out early, and hopefully you were already able to secure it at the line mentioned. KC has a lot to play for, and the Bengals have motivation to lose - if they win, they’ll play the red-hot Pittsburg Steelers in the first round of the playoffs, but if Cinci loses and the Patriots win the Bengals face the Jags first round. Cinci obviously has a strong desire to sit their starters for rest. Carson Palmer is not going to play. On the Chiefs side, KC needs to win to have any playoff shot (KC win, San Diego and Pittsburg loses and KC is in), and also will have strong desire to give a win for the home fans to try to put a strong finish on the disappointing season (assuming the Chiefs don't get in). Coach Dick Vermeil is probably on his way out . The Bengals are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings with the Chiefs, and the Chiefs still boast their impressive winning streak in December / Janurary at home. Game of the week, and the only game I'm playing straight up. I'm on this game for fifteen units at -7 (-108) and it is currently my only play for the week.
Teasers: The following teasers have a lot of value in my opinion. Both Pittsburgh and Tampa are playing must-win games, however I believe the spreads (currently -13.5 on Pinnacle for both) are too large to be of value. I believe these games have value in teasing down past the seven.
KC -.5, Pittsburgh -6.5: risking 6.5 units to win 5 units
KC -.5, Tampa -6.5: risking 6.5 units to win 5 units
KC -.5, Tampa -6.5, Pittsburg -6.5: risking 5 units to win 6 units.
Due to the unique scenarios in the NFL this week, I'm not picking a lot of straight games this week. However I believe there is a lot of value in a few games and in a few teased scenarios.
Results from the week and season:
For the Week: 0-3-1, loss on Game of the Week. -10.7 units on recommended plays.
Season: 9-7 (56.25%) on Game of the Week. 32-35 (47.76%) on overall picks. -15.05 units on recommended plays for the season.
Game of the week remains a winner (+6.5 units for the season on recommended Game of the Week plays) despite the downturn in the past three weeks for the rest.
Kansas City -7 (-108) over Bengals
I sent this pick out early, and hopefully you were already able to secure it at the line mentioned. KC has a lot to play for, and the Bengals have motivation to lose - if they win, they’ll play the red-hot Pittsburg Steelers in the first round of the playoffs, but if Cinci loses and the Patriots win the Bengals face the Jags first round. Cinci obviously has a strong desire to sit their starters for rest. Carson Palmer is not going to play. On the Chiefs side, KC needs to win to have any playoff shot (KC win, San Diego and Pittsburg loses and KC is in), and also will have strong desire to give a win for the home fans to try to put a strong finish on the disappointing season (assuming the Chiefs don't get in). Coach Dick Vermeil is probably on his way out . The Bengals are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings with the Chiefs, and the Chiefs still boast their impressive winning streak in December / Janurary at home. Game of the week, and the only game I'm playing straight up. I'm on this game for fifteen units at -7 (-108) and it is currently my only play for the week.
Teasers: The following teasers have a lot of value in my opinion. Both Pittsburgh and Tampa are playing must-win games, however I believe the spreads (currently -13.5 on Pinnacle for both) are too large to be of value. I believe these games have value in teasing down past the seven.
KC -.5, Pittsburgh -6.5: risking 6.5 units to win 5 units
KC -.5, Tampa -6.5: risking 6.5 units to win 5 units
KC -.5, Tampa -6.5, Pittsburg -6.5: risking 5 units to win 6 units.
posted by Performify at 11:33 AM
2 Comments:
Adding another teaser:
Denver +17
Oakland +14.5
to win five units
That's the way to end the season.
+15 units on Game of the week.
+15 units on Teasers
Final season record: 10-7 on Game of the Week, +21.5 units
Final season record: 33-35 overall, +14.5 units for the year on all posted plays.
Since today's been so good, I'll add one more teaser just to keep the late games interesting:
Bodog Sweetheart Tease:
Chicago +15.5
Bears under 45
Redskins +2.5
to win two units at -110
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