Sunday, September 24, 2006

Performify's Pigskin Picks: Week Four (Early Edition)

There's a pair of plays I love for Week Four, and wanted to post now, as i think its not going to be around all week.

Remaining picks will be posted as normal sometime between now and the normal time, but for now: Chargers -2.5 +109 over Baltimore: five units, preliminary Game of the Week

This line looks way off to me on early glance. With the way Baltimore looked today - they let the Browns score twice against them, Browns led 14-3 at half, they're being overvalued for their second half play. Rested Chargers team puts this away easily by a field goal. Dropping three units now as a value play and expecting to wake up with this line over -3 tomorrow.

Tease of the Week (Week Four): Atlanta -1.5, Seattle +8.5 : four units

I feel Seattle is being undervalued and asking a tough Bears team to beat them by more than a TD is a lot. Likewise Atlanta is undervalued here - while there's a possibilty of a large injury tomorrow changing this value, there's also chance of a value shift if they blow out the Saints on MNF.

I like both of these games quite a bit, but especially so in the Wong teaser across the 7 and 3. Big play, four units in my system.

1 Comments:

Blogger Donkeypuncher said...

I heart Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland this week (-2.5)

8:28 PM, September 27, 2006  

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